2025年8月19日，上外中东研究所丁隆教授就哈马斯同意新停火提议接受Global Times采访（见Global Times2025年8月20日第3版），全文如下：
Hamas says it has agreed to Arab ceasefire proposal; Ceasefire efforts fraught with uncertainties given deep-rooted contradictions: expert
Hamas has agreed to a 60-day ceasefire proposal with Israel on Monday local time that includes the release of half the hostages held in Gaza and Israel's release of some Palestinian prisoners, according to media reports.
A senior Hamas official told CNN the proposal calls for the release of 10 living hostages and 18 deceased hostages. The hostages will be released in exchange for 140 Palestinian prisoners serving life sentences and 60 serving sentences of more than 15 years. Israel will also release all Palestinian minors and female prisoners, the official said.
The proposal also entails a ceasefire during which Israeli forces redeploy to the lines specified in the Witkoff proposal, while humanitarian aid flows intensively to meet the basic needs of the population in Gaza.
According to the Reuters, the proposed deal follows the mediators' meeting with Hamas representatives in Cairo on Sunday. Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, the Qatari prime minister, joined the discussions on Monday and met both Egyptian President el-Sisi and Hamas representatives, said an official briefed on the meetings, according to Reuters report.
Citing a diplomat briefed on the negotiation, CNN said Qatari and Egyptian mediators secured a breakthrough that preserves 98 percent of the last proposal from US envoy Steve Witkoff, to which Israel had previously agreed. The mediators put pressure on Hamas to accept the proposal.
Realistically, however, the latest round of talks - which Arab mediators suggest has gone a long way towards meeting previous Israeli objections, and is based on a US-proposed framework - is bound to feed into a febrile political situation in Israel, which is facing growing and acrimonious social and political divisions, said the Guardian.
Reuters reported that Israel's plans to seize control of Gaza City have stirred alarm both abroad and at home. On Sunday, tens of thousands of Israelis held some of the largest protests since the war began, urging a deal to end the fighting and free the remaining 50 hostages held in Gaza since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023. Israeli officials believe 20 are still alive.
In response to the protests, Netanyahu accused those participating of giving comfort to Hamas.
Meanwhile, responding to Netanyahu's remarks, the Guardian reported that the Hostages and Missing Families Forum lambasted the Israeli prime minister, saying: They have been languishing in Gaza for 22 months, on your watch.
Regarding Hamas's acceptance of the proposal, Ding Long, a professor at the Middle East Studies Institute of Shanghai International Studies University told the Global Times that, faced with the harsh realities of the worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza, Hamas' survival crisis, and the loss of external support, Hamas has no choice but to make compromises in order to survive.
Ding noted that following the Israel-Palestine conflict, Israel finds itself in a dilemma, unable to continue its policy of sustaining politics through warfare. Domestic pressure is rising, compelling the government to adopt a stalling strategy.
But judging by the failed trajectory of past talks, the announcement does not necessarily mean an end to the war is imminent, Al Jazeera noted. Over the past two years, Hamas has accepted proposals for a ceasefire and the release of Israeli captives and Palestinian prisoners, only for Israel to reject them and insist on continuing the war.
Ceasefire efforts are fraught with uncertainties, Ding added, indicating that the implementation of such agreements is unlikely to proceed smoothly and that significant reversals are a high probability.
An Al Jazeera report noted that the major sticking point has been the duration of the ceasefire. Hamas wants a permanent end to the war, but Israel has been seeking a temporary truce that would allow it to resume its destruction and displacement campaign in Gaza after its captives in the territory are released.
Zhu Yongbiao, a Middle East affairs expert and director of the Center for Afghanistan Studies at Lanzhou University, agreed, noting that the fundamental contradictions remain unresolved, making any proposed solution only a short-term balance after another round of negotiations.
Earlier, regarding the Palestinian-Israeli issue, China's permanent representative to the United Nations Fu Cong made remarks at the UN Security Council Briefing on August 10.
Any attempt to occupy Gaza must be firmly opposed. The recent approval by Israel's security cabinet of a plan to take over Gaza is a matter of grave concern for China. We urge Israel to stop this dangerous move at once. Gaza belongs to the Palestinian people, Fu noted.
China stands ready to work alongside the international community to advance an end to the war in Gaza, alleviate the humanitarian catastrophe, and implement the two-State solution, ultimately achieving a comprehensive, just, and lasting solution of the Palestinian question, said Fu.
来源：Global Times
（本文观点仅为作者或被访者个人观点，不代表本研究机构立场）
